The Iranian Threat
Assessment: Iran is about a month from having enough material to fuel a nuclear bomb

Iran is said to be about a month from having enough material to manufacture a single nuclear warhead, strengthening its demands to improve the terms of a deal being negotiated in Vienna to restore the 2015 nuclear agreement. There are also those who believe that Iran will need "several months" to reach that point. In talks with the director-general of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) in Tehran on Sunday, Iran agreed to let the agency install more surveillance cameras at its nuclear sites.  

The New York Times reports that experts who checked new statistics included in the report by UN inspectors last week reached the conclusion that by enriching uranium to near bomb-grade levels during the last few months, Iran has reached the point of almost having enough for a nuclear bomb, and that Iran has the capability of producing the fuel needed to manufacture a single nuclear warhead within about a month under the most extreme timeline. 

U.S. officials who have seen classified estimates are prevented from discussing official assessments, but they conceded in background conversations that they believed it would take Iran "several months", the New York Times said. The report noted that 20 years ago the Iranians were already studying the technology for manufacturing a warhead that could fit atop a missile and survive the fiery re-entry into the atmosphere following the launch.   

Iran agreed to let the IAEA install more surveillance cameras at its nuclear sites, and to allow nuclear inspectors to switch the memory cards of surveillance cameras on the condition that they remain in Iranian territory. The agreement was reached during the visit of IAEA Director-General Rafael Grossi to Iran on Sunday, during which he met with the head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, Mohammad Eslami. Until now, the inspectors had complained that the Iranians were blocking their access to cameras installed at the nuclear sites. 

# Middle East Analysis # Iran # War on terror
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