MAR 29, 2024 JLM 63°F 08:31 AM 01:31 AM EST
The explosion in the area of the Iranian nuclear site in Natanz. Opinion

Against the background of the reports received on social media in Iran about a violent explosion in the skies of the area where the nuclear facility in Natanz is located, and the publication of "sensational" news about the evacuation of villages near the facility itself due to a nuclear radiation leak from the commentator Netiz.

What was reported is all based on one report of an explosion heard in the Natanz space. From here there are a variety of evolving versions.
• The shooting of the GNA in the face of a hostile target that also caused damage to a nearby village.
• The GNA experiment of a system in space (probably to explain excuse A)
• Explosion in or near the facility itself
• Evacuation of residents in nearby villages
• Probably following the evacuation report, the report on radiation at the site and the need for evacuation was born.

A loud explosion heard in the area can match another damage event created as a result of sabotage in the facility itself. In order for it to have an external effect and in general to hear it, it must be in an external facility to give ground, as in the explosion of the centrifuge development plant, and less in the underground. Such sabotages usually occur at night when the site is low (Air defense exercises usually take place during the day…)

The chance that something in the field of sabotage caused radiation in the area is very low in the case of an initiated sabotage. Unless there was an independent internal malfunction. In any case this is not a hot reactor or a site with high level fissile material.

The Iranian opposition has an interest in amplifying events and that is why we we are always suspicious regarding reports. One has to wait and see if there is visible external damage in the area of the facility that the Iranians will find it difficult to hide or if there was something dramatic in the facility.

The Mossad

If the Iranian interest is to hide, there are those whose interest is reversed, and will find a way to advertise their findings.
If there was anything in the facility itself, the timing during the call crisis makes sense, probably in light of the Mossad chief's statement. 

The Mossad head's trip the the U.S. was planned regardless, there is tension with the Biden administration and there are several issues that need to be resolved and the conditions for the Iran agreement maximized if it is to proceed at all. DM Gantz is also coming to the United States this week for the same purpose.

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Comments
[deleted] 12:34 05.12.2021
Time to destroy their nuclear program now
Leslie Benjamini 06:20 05.12.2021
It is too soon to know what, if anything of significance happened. It is always the default position to blame Israel. Whatever happens Iran will have brought it upon itself by becoming a Rogue Nation
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