Iran is expanding the Imam Ali missile base near Hurrambad, about 1,400 kilometers from Jerusalem - a range that Iranian missiles know how to cross. Is Iran preparing for mutual deterrence against Israel?
Iran is expanding the Imam Ali missile base (33.0081819,46.5645444) located near Khorramabad. This is according to a report by Orion__int. According to a report by nti.org, this is a base that stores missiles that will love 3 in underground bunkers.
The site is located 35 km from Khurramabad on the road to Koohdasht. The Imam Ali base belongs to the al-Hadid Brigade, a unit subordinate to the missile force of the Revolutionary Guards. The air distance of the base from Jerusalem is about 1400 km.
Iran’s expansion can be seen as routine expansion work, as other countries do when it comes to expanding or downsizing military bases. And they can also be perceived in a broader context of preparations for a situation of mutual deterrence vis-à-vis Israel.
In recent months, the level of security tensions between Iran and Israel has been rising due to the nuclear talks in Vienna, with both sides not really sure where the failure of the talks will lead. Some commentators claim that in such a case, we turned to war.
Another part claims that we have turned to the status quo. After all, from January 2018 until today, for almost four years, there has been no practical UN oversight of Iran's nuclear infrastructure. There may be a few more years like this, if there is no agreement.
In a realistic view, Iran must prepare for war with Israel and deter Israel. Expanding a missile base that could threaten Jerusalem could be seen as an action in this direction. It is also likely that Israeli intelligence is aware of the expansion of military bases in Iran, certainly those that can detect the changes in satellites and those that threaten Jerusalem in the long run.
If there is an agreement at the end of the day, the expansion of the base could be seen as an Iranian move to maintain deterrence with Israel, under the agreement.