APR 20, 2024 JLM 70°F 09:56 AM 02:56 AM EST
What will happen to the Iran nuclear deal?

- The nuclear talks in Vienna have been stopped and it is estimated in Washington that the talks will resume only after the new president, Ibrahim Raisi, takes office. 
- Pessimism among the powers regarding the chances of signing a return to the nuclear agreement. 
- Britain, Germany and France warn that its signing is uncertain and that of the continued production of metallic uranium by Iran, a procedure that leads to the production of a nuclear bomb

Iran is pursuing a policy of ambiguity regarding its intentions to continue talks in Vienna on a return to the nuclear deal, the Biden administration and powers are awaiting a decision by Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, two weeks have passed since the end of the sixth round of talks in Vienna and it is still unclear. The United States is awaiting Iran's response to proposals it has made to the Iranian delegation for the Vienna talks, the Americans are cautious and US Foreign Ministry spokesman Ned Price said a few days ago that "talks will resume at the appropriate time.

Rob Mali, the special US envoy for Iran, estimates that talks in Vienna were halted because of the results of the Iranian presidential election in which conservative candidate Ibrahim Raisi won. Other U.S. officials say the talks have come to a standstill and thus have been halted. U.S. intelligence has difficulty assessing whether this is a tactical or strategic move by Supreme Leader Khamenei, whether it is a complete halt to talks and abandonment of negotiations or a wait until Aug. 3. 

The new president, Ibrahim Raisi, is a protégé of the supreme leader who is very close to the "Revolutionary Guards" and has the hawkish line.

Is there any point in going back to the 2015 nuclear deal?

According to US sources, President Biden's entourage fears that the possibility of a return to the 2015 nuclear deal has already become difficult to achieve. 

Much pessimism stems from Iranian technological advances, the pace and level of uranium enrichment by Iranians and the election of new President Ibrahim Raisi. All of these factors sharpen the question of whether Iran's nuclear ambitions can be stopped at all.

The pessimism is not just the domain of the Biden government, the three powers: Britain, Germany and France negotiating with Iran and the US over the renewal of the nuclear agreement warned last week that its signing is uncertain and that Iran continues to produce metallic uranium, a process leading to production Nuclear bomb.

The new government in Israel is also following these developments and it has already held its first discussion on the issue of nuclear Iranian. According to political sources in Jerusalem, the situation is dangerous and the option of military attack on Iran's nuclear facilities is growing, this will be the main topic when PM Bennett arrives in Washington DC for talks with President Biden in the White House.

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