A new Sky News poll shows Nigel Farage’s Reform UK surging to 311 seats, making it the largest party in Britain. Labour and the Conservatives collapse to historic lows, reshaping the political landscape.
The survey, based on 13,000 respondents over three weeks, predicts Reform would secure 311 of 650 seats if elections were held tomorrow. While short of the formal 326-seat majority, Farage could likely form a government and become prime minister.
From 5 seats to 311, Reform’s rise would be the biggest single-election leap in British history. Labour would plunge from 411 seats to just 144—its worst result since 1931. Many senior Labour figures, including Angela Rayner and Ed Miliband, are projected to lose their seats.
The Conservatives face near wipeout, dropping from 121 seats to 45—their lowest tally since the 16th century Tory predecessor. The Liberal Democrats are forecast to win 78 seats, the SNP 37, the Greens 7, and Plaid Cymru 6.