According to Lebanese political analysts, Hezbollah is actively undermining efforts to disarm all armed groups as a condition for receiving Western aid to rebuild Lebanon’s shattered economy and southern villages destroyed in the war with Israel.

Analysts claim that under direct orders from Iran, Hezbollah and its Shiite ally Amal are deliberately sabotaging the government’s plans, deceiving the public, and preventing the country's recovery.

A senior Lebanese analyst wrote: while Lebanon sinks deeper into crisis, the government moves at a snail's pace. Reforms are delayed, and no real progress is made toward state control over all weapons. Hezbollah continues its tactics of delay and deception, helped by Nabih Berri (the leader of Amal), as the country pays the price.

Rebuilding depends on reform laws—especially the disarmament issue—which are still pending. The Lebanese president and government have not set deadlines for Hezbollah to hand over its weapons. This also delays the disarmament of Palestinian factions, which was scheduled to begin on June 15.

Time is running out while Hezbollah debates the interpretation of the UN resolution: does it apply only south of the Litani River or the entire country? Meanwhile, Israel continues its operations, using Hezbollah’s behavior as justification to attack at will. 

Lebanon is stuck in an endless loop of speeches with no real action.

Everyone in Lebanon knows that village reconstruction won’t begin until Hezbollah gives up its weapons. Israel insists that displaced people cannot return until Hezbollah disarms. It also accuses Hezbollah of rebuilding its military infrastructure and smuggling weapons through Syria—providing Israel with further justification to maintain its positions in southern Lebanon and carry out drone strikes, such as the recent ones in Beirut’s Dahiyeh suburb.

The world watches, expecting at least minimal reforms. But nothing happens.

Israel’s conclusion: to eliminate the Hezbollah threat once and for all, it must escalate pressure until the group is forced to disarm and become a purely political actor. 

Israel is frustrated by Iran’s open interference in Lebanon, with no serious Western response. The U.S. has also frozen arms deliveries to the Lebanese army until reforms are implemented.

The bottom line: Hezbollah won’t disarm voluntarily. Israel must act more aggressively—because Hezbollah serves Iran, not Lebanon.