The Taiwanese defense minister recently said that China now has the ability to attack Taiwan but probably only in 2025 will it be worth doing so.

Simon Gao interviewed James Panel, a former senior U.S. Marine intelligence official. He said China probably already has the ability to attack Taiwan today but prefers to continue to develop its military technology and strengthen its place in the world to wage political and economic warfare that will erode the leadership in Taiwan and cause it to eventually surrender, without war.

China also apparently prefers to postpone the invasion until after the 2022 Olympics, and after hosting the Chinese Communist Party conference in the fall of that year.
Some think that the timing of the attack on Taiwan will be postponed even further and will depend on the results of the next US election in 2024.

According to one scenario, the China panel will carry out a comprehensive offensive that will include, first and foremost, cyber attacks against vital infrastructure in Taiwan and against US military bases in Japan to create confusion that would allow it to launch ballistic missiles at key strategic points in Taiwan.

China has been working for this for 20 years - the goal is to neutralize the aid of allies such as the United States and Japan and to develop weapons that could harm American aircraft carriers.

James Panel has been warning for 10 years about narrowing the gaps between China and the US and says that the US should invest in its deterrence capability, meanwhile it is reassuring that the US still has a nuclear advantage but in this area too China is striving to close gaps.