YONI BEN MENACHEM: Israel needs help to destroy Iranian Nuclear sites
Senior political sources say that Israel hopes that US President Donald Trump will make the decision to intervene directly in the war in Iran on Israel's side, and will send American bombers to help Israel destroy Iranian nuclear sites - primarily the nuclear site at Fordow, dug deep underground, which Israel is having difficulty destroying due to the lack of bombs suitable for this task.
A senior White House official told Fox News last night that there is a possibility that the US will attack Iran's nuclear facilities and that "the issue is on the table."
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu spoke by phone with Trump last night after consulting with his advisers about the possibility of the US joining the campaign and the possible consequences. No details were given about the conversation between the two.
Despite reports in the Israeli and American media, and general assessments that the US will eventually join the campaign, it is still unclear whether Trump has already made a decision to attack Iran.
Israeli security sources do not rule out the possibility that the delay in Trump's decision is part of a deliberate deception strategy in coordination with Israel, while the US continues to make the necessary military preparations on the ground.
The New York Times reported last night that if the US joins the campaign, Iran will attack American bases in the Middle East, and that Iran has prepared missiles and additional equipment for such a scenario.
According to sources in the Foreign Ministry in Jerusalem, the recent statements by China, Pakistan, and North Korea in favor of Iran indicate a clear trend toward the formation of an anti-Western coalition that threatens to turn the war in Iran into an international event.
The Israeli defense establishment sees direct US involvement in the war as having significant advantages in the short term, but in the longer term it could lead to a regional and international chain reaction:
A. In the short term, increasing Israel's absolute air and intelligence superiority over all Iranian territory, eliminating the threat of ballistic missiles over Israel, destroying all nuclear sites and ballistic missile and UAV sites, and creating a shock in Iranian society that could lead to the collapse of the ayatollahs' regime.
B. Likewise, deterring Iran's proxies, such as Hezbollah, the Houthis in Yemen, and the Shiite militias in Iraq, from trying to assist Iran in the campaign and attack American bases in Iraq and Syria or in the Gulf states.
C. However, although direct US involvement in the war would provide Israel with "strategic oxygen," it could exacerbate the situation with countries that support Iran, such as China, Pakistan, and North Korea, and cause a renewed balance of power and the possibility of escalation and inter-block tensions. The possible escalation could spill over beyond the Middle East and become a global problem, involving forces with interests opposed to the US, such as Russia and China.
D. Foreign Ministry officials are concerned that direct American involvement in the war in Iran, which would lead to an Israeli victory, would strengthen the frustration and desire for revenge among opponents and haters of Israel, which could lead to an increase in the wave of anti-Semitism against Israel, especially in Europe.
At the end of this week's summit of industrialized countries, the G7, a statement was issued stating that Israel has the right to defend itself. At the same time, the leaders also called for a reduction in the escalation in the Middle East, noting that "Iran is a major source of terrorism and instability in the region." According to political sources, the statement is a sign of Western support for Israel, but also a call for negotiations and the easing of tensions.
In parallel with the conflict between Israel and Iran, the international atmosphere is heating up and eyes are on the US to see what Trump's decision will be.