AMIT SEGAL: Hezbollah’s Dilemma

Israel recorded one of its greatest achievements this week one year ago, when the ceasefire with Hezbollah went into effect. How do I know? 

In the first week of the ceasefire, Hezbollah fired two mortar shells at northern Israel, prompting the IDF to retaliate by striking 40 targets in Lebanon. Since then, the Shiite terror group hasn’t dared respond to Israel’s continuous strikes on Hezbollah targets. It simply continues to absorb blow after blow.

Unfortunately, that alone isn’t enough, and at the end of each month, Hezbollah is slightly stronger than it was 30 days prior—notwithstanding the IDF attacks, without which Hezbollah would be in significantly better shape.

So the Israeli military is failing? No, the Lebanese army is failing (or refusing) to disarm Hezbollah. And now, patience has run out—but not just the Jewish state’s. The Americans are also fed up, and have essentially labelled Lebanese military chief Rudolf Haykal a persona non grata. (Just this week, Washington cancelled meetings with Haykal, forcing him to cancel his trip to the U.S.) In simpler terms, Washington wants him gone.

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