IDF estimates indicate Hezbollah aimed to launch at least 100 rockets every few days in large barrages.
The Israel Defense Forces (IDF) reported successfully intercepting more than half of Hezbollah's rocket barrage targeting northern Israel on the night of March 17, 2026.
The military assesses that Hezbollah intends to conduct similar — or potentially larger — attacks every few days as part of an escalation strategy.
IDF estimates indicate Hezbollah aimed to launch at least 100 rockets. In reality, the group fired approximately 40 short-range rockets, along with several missiles and five drones. Air defenses intercepted most of the projectiles, while others either landed in open areas or fell short inside Lebanon. One rocket directly struck a residential home in Karmiel, causing property damage but no injuries. All five drones were successfully neutralized.
The Israeli Air Force conducted preemptive and concurrent strikes on Hezbollah rocket launchers, firing teams, and command infrastructure to disrupt the attack. Several launchers were destroyed before they could fire, with at least 10 more hit shortly afterward.
In recent days, Hezbollah has averaged around 150 rockets per day, according to the IDF. Roughly two-thirds of this fire targets Israeli forces operating in southern Lebanon and along the border, with the remaining third directed at Israeli territory. The military views these periodic larger barrages as deliberate attempts to intensify pressure.
Hezbollah retains thousands of short-range rockets (up to 40 km) and hundreds of longer-range projectiles. However, much of its arsenal has been pushed deeper into southern Lebanon — including north of the Litani River — limiting short-range systems' ability to reach deeper Israeli cities. Instead, they primarily threaten troops in Lebanon or communities in the Galilee.
The group has also decentralized its rocket forces, dispersing smaller launchers (with fewer barrels) across more sites. This complicates detection and destruction but reduces salvo sizes in any single barrage.
In response to the attack, the IDF continued widespread strikes across Lebanon, including in Tyre — described as a key Hezbollah "center of gravity." The area had seen prior partial evacuations, and fresh warnings were issued before the latest operations. Additional targets included Hezbollah-affiliated gas stations, aimed at disrupting the group's funding and logistical mobility
.On the ground in southern Lebanon, Israel's ongoing operation continues. The IDF estimates that fewer than 1,000 elite Radwan Force operatives crossed the Litani River to engage Israeli troops. So far, at least 200 Radwan fighters have been killed; they operate in small cells scattered across nearly every village in the region and have largely retreated upon contact with IDF forces.