There’s no doubt that official normalization between Israel and Saudi Arabia would be a diplomatic earthquake in the Middle East.
For Israel, it would mark a significant leap forward in regional legitimacy, especially coming from the Custodian of the Two Holy Mosques. For the Saudis, it would cement their role as a pragmatic leader in the Arab world. But the question remains: at what cost—and is it worth it?
Saudi recognition would certainly have strategic benefits. Open cooperation could lead to expanded trade, tourism, and technology sharing. It could also mean a powerful Sunni Arab ally in efforts to contain Iran. But here's the reality: much of this is already happening without formal recognition.
Israeli and Saudi officials have reportedly held quiet meetings for years. Intelligence coordination against Iran and its proxies like Hezbollah is ongoing. Israel was allowed to use Saudi airspace for eastbound flights. Israeli cybersecurity firms have allegedly sold tools to the Kingdom. And when missiles from Yemen targeted Saudi oil fields, it wasn’t a secret that Israeli technology may have helped defend against them.