A new long-term study challenges the widespread narrative that Christian evangelical support for Israel has collapsed following the Gaza war.
Researchers found that support has remained stable—especially among deeply religious evangelicals—while only modest shifts were observed among mainline Protestants.
The findings, based on eight years of research and multiple surveys including a December 2025 poll of 3,806 respondents, show continuity rather than decline. Among evangelicals, about half consistently supported Israel before, during, and after the war. Support for Gazans dropped from 19% in 2021 to 11% in 2025, with many respondents instead moving toward neutral positions rather than switching sides.
Among mainline Protestants, there was some movement: support for Gazans rose from 8.9% in 2024 to 16.7% in 2025, while support for Israel declined slightly from 47.4% to 43.4%. However, strong pro-Gazan sentiment remained very low, and nearly half of respondents stayed neutral.