The group has begun building logistical warehouses, distributing aid to Shiite villages, and deploying operatives across northern Lebanon. Tensions are surging in the south, with Hezbollah leaders issuing increasingly militant statements. 

Israel and the U.S., frustrated by Lebanon's weak response to Western proposals, are considering a stronger reaction—especially with a UNIFIL mandate decision looming.

Col. (res.) Dr. Jacques Neriah notes Hezbollah is asserting independence from the Lebanese state, even as the central bank attempts to curb its power. Lebanon is expected to vote tomorrow on whether to disarm Hezbollah, but strong Shiite opposition could trigger internal strife—and potentially justify a major Israeli military response if no resolution is reached.