Lebanese analysts: Hezbollah will not initiate war with Israel

Retired Brigadier General and strategic expert Naji Malab told the US-based Al-Hurra news outlet that Hezbollah is not moving toward a military response against Israel, even if it wished to, because “the internal price would be enormous.”

He warned of potential security collapse, friction with the Lebanese Army, clashes with political factions, and growing frustration in Hezbollah’s own environment, which “can no longer tolerate new wars.”

Charles Jabbour, head of communications for the Lebanese Forces party, said recent battlefield realities have “shattered Hezbollah’s theories” about deterrence and strength. According to him, Hezbollah “no longer has the ability to respond or confront,” and now counts its ongoing losses while dragging Lebanon into chaos, destruction, and constant tragedies tied to its “expired Iranian weapons.”

Political analyst George al-Akouri agreed, arguing that facts on the ground prove Hezbollah’s limited ability to respond to Israeli strikes: “If it had such capability, it would have already used it.” He said the group may possess weapons that irritate Israel but lacks any arsenal suitable for launching a real offensive.

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