He encouraged the gathered IRGC soldiers not to fear Israel's technological superiority. But in reality, Kalibaf's words revealed the very thing that he was trying to hide horror and fear. The regime is very nervous about what Israel will do to them, despite the reports of secret meetings between American and Iranian officials to agree on what targets Israel can respond to. 

Hezbollah and Hamas are beyond a doubt strategically weakened, and this calls into question the entire strategy of Iran, which uses its proxies to deter their enemies. 

Iran has reached the limit of the sophistication of its missile project, and its Russian air defense systems offer no real protection, as became clear after Israel's airstrikes on Friday. Any announcement of a nuclear attack by Iran will, of course, be met with devastating Israeli airstrikes that could incite and bring anti-regime demonstrators to the streets of Iranian cities.

The volunteer force of the Revolutionary Guards, the Basij, is still traumatized by the atrocities they were ordered to brutally deal with protesters since the beginning of the "Women, Life, Freedom" movement of 2022. The bosses of the Basij are too nervous to ask them to do this again, knowing clearly that the key turning point towards the revolution The Islamic one was when the Shah's soldiers refused to fire on protesters.

Khamenei does not want to repeat the same mistake and lose power because of protests all over the country that cross ethnic, class and generational lines. Khamenei sees the interference of foreign hands in internal demonstrations, and his speeches are loaded with words like 'threat', 'enemy' and 'crisis'.

Large cracks within the regime are beginning to appear.

Iran's internal and external intelligence services are even more paranoid than the leaders who do not know what tomorrow holds for them.