The idea of imposing a “transit fee” through the Strait of Hormuz has generated massive financial projections, with estimates ranging from several billion dollars annually in a conservative scenario to as much as $90 billion in a more extreme case involving high fees and full restoration of pre-war shipping volumes.
However, these numbers remain largely theoretical.
As long as there is no officially established tariff system, no internationally recognized enforcement mechanism, and maritime traffic has yet to fully recover, such projections are closer to speculation than reality. For now, they represent a ceiling of potential — not actual revenue.
While Hormuz could, on paper, become a major source of income, the current situation paints a very different picture. Rather than functioning as a dependable financial engine, the strait is being used primarily as a geopolitical pressure point.