Based on the deterrence formula Israel announced at the start of this agreement, we should expect retaliatory strikes on Hezbollah strongholds in Dahiya shortly.

This comes a day after another round of talks between the Israeli and Lebanese ambassadors concluded in Washington. The outcome was entirely predictable: the Lebanese spent the time obsessing over the symptoms while desperately avoiding any serious discussion of the disease.

A Lebanese official told Reuters they were proposing a phased approach to perpetuate the ceasefire based on “pilot zones”—specific geographic areas where hostilities would stop, Israeli troops would withdraw, and Lebanese soldiers would deploy, gradually building up to a nationwide truce.