Iran is still capable of launching a rapid barrage of hundreds of ballistic missiles at Israel, as it did in April 2024, but such a move would be extremely risky for Iran, as Israel would respond with overwhelming force on Iranian territory
The ceasefire between Israel and Iran, declared at the end of June, has not eased tensions between the two nations. On the contrary, military preparations continue beneath the surface, and the entire region sits atop a powder keg that could explode at any moment.
In both Jerusalem and Tehran, officials speak of a “new phase” in the confrontation – one of fragile mutual deterrence, with its timeline influenced by regional and international developments.
While Israel strengthens its defense systems and accelerates production of its Arrow missiles, Iran is rebuilding its forces. It makes it clear that it will not abandon its nuclear program – even at the cost of another military clash.