According to Lehav, today's Syria risks becoming the "new Afghanistan"—a country that outwardly projects openness to the West, yet in reality is controlled by jihadist forces. Israel is acting wisely by establishing regional balances, creating security zones, and strengthening its deterrent capabilities.

Israel is justifiably concerned about the formation of a new axis: Erdoğan's Turkey, al-Julani’s Syria, and Qatar replacing Jordan—an alliance potentially cooperating with terror groups in the West Bank and Gaza. This "Sunni axis" could replace the current Iranian-Shiite one and is considered an even greater threat. The key challenge: prevent the rise of this radical Sunni bloc and ensure Syria doesn't become a terror hub threatening Israel's borders and regional stability.

Turkey, under Erdoğan, plays a central role in supporting al-Julani. Erdoğan envisions himself as a "modern sultan" in a renewed Ottoman vision, aspiring to turn Syria into a Turkish protectorate. While Turkey is a problematic actor, it remains a key player—and its growing influence should concern Israel.