“Right now, Hezbollah is in survival mode. It doesn't mean that they are not prepared for confrontation,” expert tells JNS.
Nearly a year after the November 2024 ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, the Lebanese–Israeli border remains volatile.
Under the terms of the agreement, Hezbollah was required to vacate southern Lebanon and be replaced by the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF), to remove the threat to Israel’s northern communities. In practice, the ceasefire more closely resembles a perpetual game of whack-a-mole as Israel continues to carry out air and ground strikes against Hezbollah violations and attempts to rebuild its military infrastructure.
According to the Galilee-based Alma Research and Education Center, as of Oct. 26, Israel has conducted 613 strikes in Lebanon since the ceasefire went into effect. Almost half of these were carried out south of the Litani River, where Hezbollah maintained dense fixed infrastructure before the war. The other half focused on the Badr Unit sector that now serves as Hezbollah’s main operational center of gravity on the southern front, and the Bekaa Valley, which functions as Hezbollah’s logistical and training depth and hosts weapons-production and missile/UAV arrays.