Egyptian media is again raising the possibility of a military strike against Ethiopia’s Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam, a scenario that experts warn could trigger a catastrophic flood and ignite a regional war in Africa.
The dispute over the GERD has been one of the most dangerous water conflicts in the world for more than a decade. Egypt views the dam as a direct threat to its national water security, fearing that Ethiopia’s control over the Nile flow could reduce the water supply that supports Egyptian agriculture, electricity production and daily life.
According to the report, some Egyptian circles are discussing the option of destroying the dam through an airstrike or commando operation. However, military and strategic experts warn that such a plan would be extremely dangerous and could fail militarily while creating massive humanitarian consequences.
The main danger is not only the strike itself, but what would happen afterward. A collapse of a dam holding tens of billions of cubic meters of water could send a destructive wave down the Nile, devastating parts of Sudan and possibly causing damage that reaches Egypt itself.