On Al-Hurra's website, Lebanese analysts state that although Hezbollah threatens the IDF, they recognize that resuming hostilities would spell its total demise.
“Hezbollah’s recent threats come within the framework of verbal intimidation and internal tension, without changing anything about the reality on the ground,” as writer and political researcher George Al-Aqouri sees it, stressing, “It is most likely just a smokescreen, as the party is no longer what it was before October 7, and will not return to that situation as a result of the severe blow that its structure and supplies were subjected to, the major transformations that the region witnessed, and the collapse of the axis of resistance.”
Al-Aqouri stressed in an interview with Al-Hurra that it is impossible for Hezbollah to regain its previous capabilities, attributing this to several factors, including “the large human losses it has suffered, including thousands of its cadres, which makes it difficult for it to quickly compensate for them, as well as the fall of the Bashar al-Assad regime in Syria, which represented a vital artery for the party, a link with Iran, and a safe haven for its stores.
In addition to that, its supply routes are now under strict international control, whether through Syria or the land, sea, and air entrances to Lebanon.”