The most likely scenario, according to regional analysts, is not a full‑scale Iranian assault but a calibrated escalation through drones, cyberattacks, or proxy militias.
Iran is entering one of the most volatile periods in its modern history, and analysts increasingly warn that the Islamic Republic may attempt to provoke a confrontation with Israel as a way to redirect public attention from its deepening domestic crisis.
The country is facing severe internal unrest, with protests erupting across dozens of cities, including Tehran, Mashhad, Isfahan, Shiraz, Tabriz, and Ahvaz.
Demonstrations have been fueled by a collapsing economy, a currency that has lost more than 80 percent of its value in recent years, and widespread anger at the ruling elite.