When Israel agreed to a ceasefire in Lebanon under pressure from the Trump administration, many inside Israel warned it would be a mistake. Their concern was clear: Hezbollah would never disarm. Today, that concern is no longer just a prediction—it’s reality.
Hezbollah has reportedly told Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri that it will never surrender its weapons, not even if Israel fully withdraws. According to Al Arabiya sources, the group’s military wing declared disarmament off the table and even threatened confrontation if Lebanon tries to enforce it.
Does that mean the critics of the ceasefire were right? Yes—but only partially.
Israel’s decision to pause the northern conflict wasn’t naive—it was strategic. The ceasefire came after Israel had already dealt a severe blow to Hezbollah’s infrastructure. More importantly, the terms Israel accepted didn’t tie its hands. The IDF retained the freedom to strike Hezbollah convoys trying to rearm, continued to hold key strategic positions in the north, and gained the breathing room needed to concentrate efforts in Gaza and prepare for the growing threat from Iran.