In an interview with Iran International, Israeli reserve Brig. General Avivi was asked a key question: when will it be safe for Iranians to rise up against the regime?
Avivi responded that conditions for a potential uprising are getting closer—but are not fully there yet. He explained that for a successful revolt, several factors must align: significant weakening of the regime’s security forces, loss of control by the leadership, and a sense among the Iranian people that the regime can no longer suppress them.
According to Avivi, ongoing Israeli and US military pressure is already degrading the regime’s capabilities, including its military infrastructure and internal security mechanisms. He suggested that this kind of sustained pressure could eventually create a window in which the Iranian public feels confident enough to act.
However, he cautioned that as long as the regime still maintains strong control through the Revolutionary Guards and internal repression systems, a large-scale uprising remains risky. The key turning point, he said, will be when the regime appears unable to enforce its authority across the country.
