MAY 5, 2024 JLM 57°F 04:35 AM 09:35 PM EST
How will the presumed death of Ramzan Kadyrov affect stability in Russia?

The world is watching Chechnya because Kadyrov's possible death will affect geopolitics and the fighting in Ukraine.

The lack of transparency that accompanies the process of political succession in Russia in general, and in Chechnya in particular, has contributed to speculations regarding the death of Ramzan Kadyrov, this in light of the distribution of many versions on social networks about his health condition that has deteriorated in recent months.

Kadyrov, 46, received medical treatment in Moscow, and often accused his doctors of poisoning him. The propaganda of Chechnya, the Russian federal district of the North Caucasus, goes out of its way to project "business as usual", but in fact in recent months Kadyrov has reduced his agenda and he was even described by commentators as "confused and lacking focus" when he appears in a video The last one that was released by his people where he is seen running in the episode, with rain falling in the background. The video, most likely, was prepared in advance.

The world is watching Chechnya because Kadyrov's possible death will affect geopolitics and the fighting in Ukraine. The process of transferring the inheritance in Chechnya is subject to significant risks if only due to the fact that Kadyrov's three living sons are under the age of 12 and are still inexperienced in managing the affairs of the district, which in the 90s was a separatist district, but today it is considered one of the loyal districts especially to the Kremlin thanks to the almost endless subsidies it receives from the center in exchange for loyalty.

In addition, Russian President Vladimir Putin created a system in which district leaders are directly appointed by him and are not elected in democratic elections, so the process is accompanied by significant power struggles that usually take place behind the scenes, which makes it difficult for commentators and experts in the region to predict what the government in Chech will look like. Nia in the coming years. Meanwhile, the Ukrainian informants said that Kadyrov is unconscious and in serious condition, but conflicting evidence is still coming in.

Many in Chechnya saw Kadyrov as an enemy because of the dark deal with the Kremlin and if he does disappear from the political map they may raise their heads to demand the establishment of the republic as they have done several times in the past. In addition, the Russian generals, who hated Kadyrov, may want to take over the army he established and there is a danger of a rebellion by the Chechen officers, who are full of pride and do not want to accept a new commander sent from Moscow.

Source: INN

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Sandy Grant 23:31 21.09.2023
No different than modern day America
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