The Egyptian Threat The Nziv Report 05:00 AM

Rising risk of confrontation as Egypt deepens military involvement in Somalia

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Growing Egyptian deployments in Somalia are heightening tensions with Israel amid shifting alliances in the Horn of Africa

Recent developments in the Horn of Africa, as of February 2026, point to a significant escalation in tensions between Israel and Egypt due to their expanding involvement in Somalia.

ISRAEL’S RECOGNITION OF SOMALILAND AS A TURNING POINT

On December 26, 2025, Israel became the first country to formally recognize the independence of Somaliland. The move was viewed in Cairo and Mogadishu as a direct violation of Somali sovereignty and an attempt by Israel to secure a strategic foothold along the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden.

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