Miscalculation is perhaps more probable than a conscious policy decision that leads to conflict. Ill-conceived comments by American diplomats led, in part, to aggression against Korea in 1950 and Kuwait in 1990. America's commitment to its allies, friends, and partners must be clear while not being unconditional.
In the case of Taiwan, U.S. clarity served with a side of ambiguity should be the order of the day.
Specifically, the Biden Administration's future National Security Strategy and National Defense Strategy must make it clear that the U.S. remains a Pacific power that will uphold its treaty obligations as well as domestic legislation such as the Taiwan Relations Act. It will not cede its regional leadership role to revisionist forces.
- The U.S. will not accept any unilateral change in the status quo of Taiwan, whether originating in Beijing or Taipei.
- The U.S. maintains a "One China policy" that has varying interpretations as well as several qualifiers and caveats, including the Six Assurances.
- The U.S. will help those that help themselves. No partner or ally should expect Americans to expend blood or treasure to make up for negligence in providing for their own defense.